Homepage > Industrial news > It is estimated that the consumption of copy paper in China will return to the level before the epidemic by 2023
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In 2021, the overall sales volume of copy paper in Chinese Mainland was about 573.8 billion, with sales reaching 39406 million yuan. In 2021, the copy paper market was successively affected by the epidemic, the increasing downward pressure on the domestic economy, the complex international environment and other adverse factors, resulting in a decline in China's copy paper production, a decline in benefits, a short-term increase in prices, and an increase in production and operation difficulties.
According to the observation of CMRC, the reasons for the decline of copy paper in China in 2021 are analyzed as follows:
(1) The impact of the COVID-19 has led to a decline in factory capacity, especially after the Spring Festival, due to the impact of the epidemic, most large-scale paper mills delayed the start-up, especially several major paper enterprises in Hubei Province were completely shut down, and most paper enterprises in the country were also shut down, resulting in a decline in domestic factory capacity.
(2) The sharp rise in international shipping costs has led to a sharp rise in costs; Due to the collapse of some enterprises affected by the epidemic and the lack of alternatives for Shanghai transportation, overseas ports are congested, the punctuality rate of ships is reduced, the average delay rate of ships arriving at the port is increased, empty containers pile up, domestic freight delays, lack of containers and containers are not alleviated. In order to make up for the early losses, inland surcharges and fuel surcharges are increased, which makes the adjusted freight naturally soar.
(3) The price and cost of waste paper, coal and raw and auxiliary materials are increasing; The newly revised law on the prevention and control of environmental pollution by solid waste will be implemented from September 1, 2020, and zero import of solid waste will be basically realized by the end of 2020. The government strictly controls the import of solid wastes such as waste paper. The demand of the paper industry for domestic recyclable waste paper will increase, and the price of waste paper will continue to rise in the short term. In addition, due to the impact of epidemic, safety, environmental protection and other factors on the main producing areas of power coal such as Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi, it is difficult to quickly release the production capacity of coal mines in the short term, resulting in the continuous rise of coal prices, which will naturally raise the power generation cost of downstream thermal power plants and the raw material cost of paper manufacturers.
(4) Increased environmental protection costs; The State Council, the Ministry of ecological environment and other relevant departments have successively issued policies to regulate the discharge standards of water pollutants in the paper industry, pollution control and recycling, promote the green transformation of the paper industry, promote the demonstration of green transformation, promote the implementation of cleaner transformation of the production process, take the source reduction of paper pollutants as the starting point, innovate the production process and equipment of traditional paper enterprises, and encourage enterprises to adopt advanced and applicable cleaner production processes, Therefore, the cost of environmental protection for enterprises has increased.
According to the 2021 China photocopy paper Market Research Report, with the implementation of the national epidemic prevention and control measures and the "six guarantees and six stabilities" policy, the domestic economy has gradually entered the channel of rapid recovery, and the consumption demand of photocopy paper has gradually rebounded. The industry has rapidly recovered its output by increasing the adjustment of raw materials, products and other structures, so that photocopy paper has maintained a good growth trend. CMRC Zhongyan Century Consulting predicts that with the mitigation of the epidemic, China's copy paper consumption will increase to 7.7% by 2023, and the copy paper consumption will return to the level before the epidemic.
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