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Energy storage BMS market size and growth forecast:
① Market size and growth rate from 2018 to 2022: BMS, as an indispensable core component of energy storage systems, will also enter the public eye with the rise of the concept of energy storage. In 2021, the energy storage system will form large-scale development, and in 2022, the installed capacity of the energy storage system will exceed 10GWh, and the market of China's energy storage BMS will also reach a scale of more than 7 billion yuan, which has increased by more than 100% compared with the initial market size of BMS in 2018.
(2) 2023-2027 future trend judgment factors: it is expected that in 2025, China's new energy storage capacity is more than 30 million kilowatts, and the current domestic production and manufacturing leading foreign markets, so the future BMS will also show a growth trend, experts predict the future compound growth rate of 25%.
Data source: Beijing Research Century Consulting
Figure 1 China's energy storage BMS market size and forecast from 2016 to 2025E
The future trend of the competitive landscape of energy storage BMS:
At present, the BMS market is highly concentrated and competitive, which is divided into three echelons according to the market share.
Data source: Beijing Research Century Consulting
FIG. 2 Echelon of China's energy storage BMS manufacturers in 2022
The first echelon enterprises occupy 67% of the market share: the main echelon type is the full coverage of the energy storage industry chain manufacturers, which master the full range of technologies from BMS to cells and battery packs, and is highly competitive, and its main advantage is that it is closer to the downstream end, and can be sold with BMS and batteries, occupying the advantage of market bundling sales, so the current market share occupies the largest.
The second tier is mainly the third-party professional manufacturers recognized by the market: the advantage is that the technical professionalism is stronger, compared with the full coverage of the energy storage industry chain, the technology accumulation is deeper, it is easier to break through new technologies in the future, and seize the market with stronger core competitiveness.
The third tier is mostly small BMS enterprises: although the strength of the company is poor, the current threshold of energy storage BMS is not high, the market is hot, and the concept of survival occupies no more than 10% of the market share.
In the fierce competition landscape, industry standards are not defined, BMS products on the market are uneven, energy storage BMS as a light asset project, product value is squeezed by downstream integrators, low profits, resulting in less research and development funds difficult to break through new technologies, the next few years, the industry is likely to usher in a reshuffle, with technology, experience and other core competitiveness of professional manufacturers will be left to the end.
Future trends of energy storage BMS:
Industry trend: The future will usher in a reshuffle of the pattern, the third party manufacturers with backward technology will be eliminated by the market, and the full-coverage manufacturers will give up the competition in the BMS market and form a long-term cooperation model with third party manufacturers;
Technology trend: In the future, the balancing function of energy storage BMS will be weakened or even removed, the active balancing circuit will be changed into a DC boost circuit at the battery cluster level, and the energy storage BMS architecture will be reformed, using string or modular energy storage technology.
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